Fears for more than a million in Rafah as Israel prepares civilian evacuation and military assault

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Key Points
  • Israeli forces are gearing up for a ground assault on the Palestinian city of Rafah.
  • Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has asked its military to devise a plan to evacuate civilians.
  • Multiple aid agencies have sounded the alarm, warning of “catastrophic consequences”.
Israeli forces are gearing up for a ground assault on Hamas in the southern Gaza city of Rafah, where hundreds of thousands of people displaced by violence further north are trapped in desperate conditions.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office said the military had been told to come up with a plan to evacuate the city but aid agencies warned that a military offensive in such a densely populated area could end up killing large numbers of innocent people.
“There is a sense of growing anxiety, growing panic in Rafah because basically people have no idea where to go,” said Philippe Lazzarini, the head of the UN Palestinian refugee agency UNRWA.

US President Joe Biden said Israel’s response to the 7 October attacks by Hamas militants was “over the top” and Washington said it would not support any military operation mounted in Rafah without due consideration for civilians.

A woman and her child walk past rubble.

Much of Gaza’s displaced population has been driven to Rafah. Source: AAP / Fatima Shbair/AP

More than a million people driven southwards by four months of Israeli bombing of Gaza are packed into Rafah and surrounding areas on the coastal enclave’s border with Egypt.

Netanyahu’s office said four Hamas battalions were in Rafah and Israel could not achieve its goal of eliminating the Islamist militants while they remained there. Civilians should be moved from the combat zone, it said.
“Therefore, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered the IDF (Israel Defence Forces) and the security establishment to submit to the cabinet a combined plan for evacuating the population and destroying the battalions.”

The statement, issued two days after Netanyahu rejected a Hamas ceasefire proposal that also envisaged the release of hostages held by the Palestinian militant group, gave no further details.

The United Nations said Palestinian civilians in Rafah needed to be protected but there should not be any forced mass displacement, which it said went against international law.
“We’re extremely worried about the fate of civilians in Rafah,” UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric said.
The Palestinian presidency said Netanyahu’s plans for a military escalation in Rafah aimed to displace the Palestinian people from their land.

“Taking this step threatens security and peace in the region and the world. It crosses all red lines,” said the office of Mahmoud Abbas, head of the Palestinian Authority in the Israeli-occupied West Bank.

Israeli forces have shifted their offensive southwards towards Rafah after initially storming northern Gaza in response to the October 7 rampage in southern Israel by Hamas gunmen who rule the coastal strip.
Doctors and aid workers in Rafah are struggling to supply even basic aid to those sheltering there, many of them penned up against the border fence with Egypt and living in makeshift tents.
“No war can be allowed in a gigantic refugee camp,” said Jan Egeland, secretary-general of the Norwegian Refugee Council, warning of a “bloodbath” if Israeli operations expanded there.
“Forcing the over one million displaced Palestinians in Rafah to again evacuate without a safe place to go would be unlawful and would have catastrophic consequences,” Nadia Hardman, a refugee and migrant rights researcher at Human Rights Watch, said.

“There is nowhere safe to go in Gaza. The international community should take action to prevent further atrocities.”

A large mass of people outside a warehouse.

Human Rights Watch said the evacuation of Palestinians from Rafah would have “catastrophic consequences”. Source: Getty / Mohammed Abed/AFP

Gaza’s health ministry said at least 27,947 Palestinians had been confirmed killed in the conflict, 107 of them in the previous 24 hours, and 67,459 injured.

Many more could be buried under rubble from Israeli attacks since Hamas militants killed 1,200 people and took 253 hostages in the 7 October attack, according to Israeli tallies.
The war between Hamas and Israel is the latest escalation in a long-standing conflict.
Hamas is a Palestinian political and military group, which has governed the Gaza Strip since the most recent elections in 2006.
Hamas’ stated aim is to establish a Palestinian state and stop the Israeli occupation of Gaza and the West Bank, illegal under international law.
Hamas in its entirety is listed as a terrorist organisation by the European Union and seven other countries, including Australia. But the UN Assembly rejected classifying Hamas as a terrorist group in a 2018 vote.
In 2021 the International Criminal Court opened an investigation into alleged Israeli war crimes in the Palestinian territories dating back to 2014, including the recent attacks of both Israel and Hamas.

Hours before Netanyahu’s statement, Israeli warplanes carried out new sorties in the area of Khan Younis and in northern and central Gaza in which Palestinian health officials said at least 15 people had been killed, eight of them in the Rafah area.

Biden said he had been pushing for a deal to pause fighting to allow the release of hostages, increase humanitarian aid reaching Palestinian civilians, and normalise relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Hamas this week proposed a ceasefire of four-and-a-half months, during which remaining hostages would go free, Israel would withdraw its troops and agreement would be reached on ending the war.
Netanyahu said Hamas’ terms, offered in response to a proposal drawn up by US and Israeli spy chiefs with Qatar and Egypt, were “delusional” and vowed to fight on.

A Hamas official told Reuters on Friday that a delegation from the group had concluded talks with mediators in Cairo and was waiting for the official Israeli response to its proposal.

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